Future scenarios are a form of [[Futures Exploration]], describing events or situations in one specific potential future.
It is typically used as a tool for [[Strategic Foresight]], [[Business Strategy]] and decision-making, helping the [[Futures Exploration#Audience & observers]] to anticipate and prepare for potential outcomes, to identify potential risks and opportunities, and to identify the strategies and actions that might be necessary to navigate different potential outcomes.
## Form
Futures scenarios are based on a range of assumptions, described in the [[Futures Exploration#Frame of reference]], to create a vision for a specific potential future. This typically takes a narrative form, sharing some aspects of [[Scientific Fiction]], however shorter and only based on a relevant slice of the potential future state, not a fully formed world.
The scenario describes an event or situation taking place in that potential future, introducing actors and outlining how the scenario unfolds for them over time, describing the key events or developments that take place.
## Structure
There are many different approaches for futures scenarios, and the form and structure of a scenario will depend on the specific [[Futures Exploration#Audience & observers]] and [[Futures Exploration#Purpose of exploration]].
It typically includes the following:
1. A description of the future setting or context in which the scenario takes place. This might include details about the state of the world, the political and economic environment, and the technological advances that are available.
2. A narrative that describes how the scenario unfolds over time, outlining the key events or developments that take place.
3. A description of the impact of the scenario on various stakeholders, including individuals, organizations, and society as a whole.
4. A discussion of the implications of the scenario for the [[Futures Exploration#Audience & observers]], including the potential risks and opportunities it presents, and the strategies and actions that might be necessary to navigate the scenario effectively.
The point of a scenario is to offer a relatable "glimpse" into a potential future.